【目击平壤】郑己烈:危机中的朝鲜

2013-03-22 20:33 作者:郑己烈 我要评论(1)

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关键词:平壤 朝鲜 目击 危机 郑己烈

核心提示:在朝鲜半岛局势一触即发的情况下,四月网特约撰稿人、朝鲜问题专家郑已烈只身前往平壤访问。四月面对面将对郑已烈教授进行一系列的电话访谈。这是首次访谈。郑教授观察到,由于美国长年对朝实施封锁和威胁,朝鲜民众对危机之中的生活习以为常。但同时,郑教授认为朝鲜民众已对此次危机可能导致的全部后果做出了心理准备。

 

主持人:欢迎收听本期的四月面对面。我是主持人胡亦南。从今天起,我们会与在朝鲜半岛局势一触即发的情况下,只身前往平壤访问的朝鲜问题专家郑已烈进行一系列的电话访谈。教授您好。平壤那边情况如何?

 

郑:和过去相比有了小幅变化。比如,在高丽航空从北京飞往平壤的班机上,有大约半数的乘客认为朝鲜半岛的局势和过去已经大为不同了。

 

主持人:具体在哪些方面呢?

 

郑:(和以往相比)现在前往平壤的人数减少了。这是我能够发现的一个明显的不同。另外一个不同是,平壤的大街小巷比较冷清,街上的人也很少。人们可以由此分析,至少我会这么认为,这个国家已经做好了准备,一旦遭受打击,必将有所作为。

 

主持人:教授,您是说当地居民得到了建议,应该足不出户或是避入掩体吗?

 

郑:我说不准。我问了他们,他们说一切正常。大家都(和过去一样)做着同样的事情。一个例子是,在餐馆里,我开玩笑说,朝鲜和美国几乎处于战争状态了。餐馆里的女服务生说:“可是先生,我们还是每天照样这么过啊。我们的生活没有发生任何变化。”陪同我就餐的一位先生说,1994年金日成主席会见来访美国前总统吉米·卡特时 – 当时朝美两国也处于危机之中 – 卡特说,如果朝鲜不停止开发核武器,国际社会将采取进一步措施来封锁并孤立朝鲜。金主席当时说:好吧。美国以国际社会的名义,已经这么做了50多年了。也就是说:来吧。我们做好战斗准备了。陪同我就餐的那位先生说,那名年轻女服务生对我所说的,和金主席当年和前总统卡特说的一模一样。

 

主持人:教授,1994年与如今的这种对比非常有趣。我回想起了我们两周前的访谈,您当时说同上世纪九十年代大饥荒和金日成逝世等的经历相比,如今朝鲜已经做好了最大的准备。您还观察到了什么其它迹象了吗?

 

郑:我需要在这次电话访谈期间做到尽量的准确。你可能还记得,我到访朝鲜已有将近一百次了。一切几乎如旧,也就是一切几乎如常。人们还有笑颜。比如吧,我就餐的位置离厨房比较近。我听到里面有人在唱歌。我问我的地陪。他说,“我想可能是厨房里的工人在哼唱吧。”于是我说,“我能去厨房看看吗?”他说好啊。我就走进了厨房,看见有两位女工在里面正高兴地唱着歌,还舞动着自己的身体。我问她们:“你们是在唱歌吗?”她们发现有人听自己唱歌,很是惊讶。我问她们:“你们快乐吗?”她们说:“先生,我们有什么不该高兴的呢?”(笑)还有,小孩子还是在街上滑冰。汽车还在路上行驶。当然,我必须强调的是,路上的人没有以往那么多了,尤其是和我上次到访朝鲜相比。那是去年12月金正日逝世一周年之后。街上到处都是人和车。但这次,我想我感受到的是,如果这个国家遭遇什么事……比如,一个同样姓郑的男子说,“我们准备好了。”我说,“你准备到了什么程度?”他说,“就像我们最高指挥官金正恩说的那样,不论将遭遇到什么,我们都准备好了。我们的言语不是空谈。”他是一名四十多岁的中层政工官员。我们一起吃饭、喝酒、开玩笑。我对他说,“全世界都在关注着这个国家,可你们看起来和听上去都还平常得很啊。”他说,“郑教授,过去70年我们都是这么过来的。美国的战争威胁从来就没停止过。自1950年11月起,我们一直生活在美国的核战威胁和先发核打击威胁下。所以对我们的正常生活来讲,这并不产生多大的影响,但有所不同的是,在我们看来,一切都很真实。我们处于确确实实的战争状态,而除非朝鲜半岛能够取得永久和平,否则我们是不会食言的。”

 

主持人:教授,这些信息很有意思。我们对朝鲜的真实情况了解太少了。教授,朝鲜劳动党机关报《劳动新闻》周四发布了一篇新闻,这则新闻简要地表示,将于4月1日召开第12届最高人民会议第7次会议。您了解这次会议的议程吗?

 

郑:今年年初,朝鲜劳动党各基层支部党员赴平壤参加了一次规模空前的全国性的集会。国家领导层决定,绝不放弃上天赋予的和平利用卫星技术的权利。他们在那次集会上也是这么说的:如果美国进一步封锁,他们就会做出回应。于是就有了第三次地下核试验。4月1日的平壤会议或许将进一步巩固党政干部对国家领导层决意与美方进行全面战争的支持。除非美国改变其反朝鲜的扼杀、包围、孤立、妖魔化与合并的策略,除非美国放弃“政权更迭”策略、吸收策略或是核打击策略,我觉得,这些人是不会像利比亚、伊拉克或是阿富汗那样,在导弹或美军入侵面前坐而待毙的。

 

主持人:我明白。我还有最后一个问题。

 

郑:好的。

 

主持人:一份早先的民调显示,三分之二的韩国居民支持韩国政府研发核武器。据您所知,北方的国民对此有何表示?

 

郑:我还没有得到这个信息。我认为这份媒体报道有可能会被用以进一步加强由联合国安理会主导的孤立政策,以及与联合国安理会2094号决议相关的政策。这边的民众认为,核能力和洲际弹道导弹能力不是为了针对任何其它国家的攻击性的战事而准备的。他们之所以需要这些技术,是为了在1950年起由美国主导的战争威胁面前进行自卫。它没有攻击性的目的,而只是防御性的策略。要说有三分之二的韩国居民 – 我很怀疑这则信息的可信度。如果我有关韩国的信息准确的话,那么,三分之二的韩国居民是呼吁达成和平方案的。这也正是朴槿惠总统的政府在两天前所说的 – 呼吁南北对话。据我所知,朝方言辞的对象,更多的是美方对这个分裂小国持续不断的(我在此重复)战争威胁。

 

主持人:可能如您所说,是媒体操纵的产物。感谢您,郑教授。我们就到这里了。请您保重。我想我们会再通话的。

郑:当然。

=======================================================

 

Host: Welcome to M4 Intel. I’m the host, Andy Hu. Starting today, we’ll be doing a series of phone interviews with Dr. Kiyul Chung, a senior expert on all things Korea who is now visiting Pyongyang at what some say is the trickiest moment on the Korean peninsula in decades. Hello Doc. How are things in Pyongyang?

 

Chung: A few changes from the past. For example, flying into Pyongyang from Beijing on Korean Airlines, about half the passengers said Korea is in a very different situation from the past.

 

Host: How so?

 

Chung: Not many people are travelling into Pyongyang now (compared with the past). That’s one visible difference I can tell. The other difference is that not much is happening in the streets of Pyongyang, and the number of people in the streets is not that big either. That’s also something people can interpret and say that the nation is really – I’d say – ready to do something if something happens to them.

 

Host: Doctor, are you suggesting that people are being advised to stay in their homes or stay in shelters?

 

Chung: I cannot tell. I asked them and they said everything is normal. Everybody is doing the same thing (as before). One example is that at the restaurant, I joked about the almost-war status with the United States. Then the young lady who served me said: “But mister, we still do what we’ve been doing daily. Nothing has changed in our lives.” And then the other gentleman at the dinner said when President Kim Il-sung met visiting former US President Jimmy Carter in 1994 – North Korea was also in a war crisis with the United States at the time – Carter said if the DPRK did not stop develop its nuclear program, the international community would go ahead and sanction and do more to isolate the DPRK. President Kim then said: That’s okay. This has already been done to us by the United States in the name of the international community for more than 50 years. Which translates into: You go ahead. We’re ready to fight them. This is exactly what the gentleman at the dinner said – he interpreted that what the young lady said to me was exactly what President Kim told President Carter then.

 

Host: Doctor, that’s a very interesting comparison between 1994 and now. I recall this from an earlier interview with you two weeks ago, when you said the DPRK is now ready as ever, when compared to what it was experiencing great famine in the 1990s and the passing of Kim Il-sung later on. Are there other signs that you see?

 

Chung: I need to do this as correct as possible during this telephone interview. This is my – you probably remember – almost 100th visit to Pyongyang. Everything is almost exactly the same, meaning it’s normal. People are still laughing. For example, my seat at the restaurant was close to the kitchen area. I heard singing inside. So I asked the gentleman. And he said, “I think the workers in the kitchen are humming and singing.” So I said, “Can I go to the kitchen?” He said, “Okay.” So I went into the kitchen area, and two young ladies were working inside, singing. They were happily singing and doing a little dance. So I asked them, “Are you singing?” They were surprised that somebody was listening to them sing. I asked, “Are you happy?” They said: “Sir, is there anything we shouldn’t feel happy about?” (Laughing) Also, little kids in the streets were still roller-skating. Cars are still running. But again, one thing I must stress the number of people in the streets is not as big as usual, or compared to my last trip in December following the first anniversary of Kim Jung-il’s death. The streets were packed with people and cars. But this time, I think I can tell that if something happens to this nation… for example, a guy also surnamed Chung said “We’re ready.” I said, “How ready are you?” He said, “As our Supreme Commander Kim Jung-un has said, we’re ready for whatever that may come. Our words are not empty talk. He’s a mid-level political officer who is in his mid-40s. I had a dinner with him and we drank together. And we made jokes. I told him, “The whole world is watching this nation, but you look and sound very normal.” Then he said, “Professor Chung, this is what we have been living like for the last 70 years. The US war threat has never stopped. We have lived under US nuclear war threat, including nuclear first-strike, since November 1950. So it doesn’t really affect much in terms of our normal daily lives, but what is different is that it seems to us that it’s real. We’re in a real war state, and we will not retreat from what we have said unless if permanent peace is brought to the Korean peninsula.”

 

Host: That’s fascinating information, doc. There is so much we don’t know yet about what’s happening on the ground in the DPRK. Now, doc, on Thursday, Pyongyang’s official Party organ, Rodong Sinmun said, without elaboration, that the DPRK’s Supreme People’s Assembly will be holding a meeting on the first of April. Do you have any idea what the meeting’s agenda will be?

 

Chung: At the beginning of this year, the Korea Workers’ Party’s members all the way down to local organizations held a big, historic nationwide gathering in Pyongyang. The national leadership decided that it would not give up its God-given right to launch its satellite for peaceful purposes. They said the same at the Party organ’s gathering, that if the US ever further sanctions them, then they will react. And then they went on with the third underground nuclear test. The April 1st gathering in Pyongyang will probably reaffirm support for the national leadership in terms of their all-out war with the US. Unless if the US changes its anti-North Korea suffocation, encirclement, isolation, demonization and absorption policy, unless if the US drops its “regime change” card, absorption policy or nuclear attack policy, I don’t think these people here will sit and wait for bombs or an invasion by the US, as was the case in Libya, Iraq or Afghanistan.

 

Host: I understand. Now I have one last question.

 

Chung: Sure.

 

Host: An earlier poll in Seoul said that two-thirds of South Korean citizens are in favor of developing its own nuclear power. To the best of your knowledge, what do people in the North have to say about this?

 

Chung: I haven’t got this information. I think this media report will be and could be used to further justify the UNSC-led isolations or policies in regard to UNSC Resolution 2094. According to the people here, nuclear capability or ICBM technology is not for offensive warfare against any other country, but they had to build this to defend themselves from US-led war threat since 1950. It is not for aggressive purposes, but rather a defensive strategy. To say that more than two-thirds of the South Korean population – I doubt if this is credible information. If my information of South Korea is correct, more than two-thirds of the people call for a peaceful resolution. And that’s what President Park Geun-hye said two days ago, when her government called for North-South dialogue. I think that’s the solution, instead of the more aggressive language. The DPRK language, as I hear, is more against the United States’ ongoing – I repeat – war threat against this small, divided nation.

 

Host: Might be result of media manipulation, like you said. Thank you, Dr. Chung. That will be all. Please do take care. I think we’ll talk soon.

 

Chung: Sure. 

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关键词:平壤 朝鲜 目击 危机 郑己烈

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array(31) { [0]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1306045) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(51) "花熊:朝鲜为何拒绝志愿军遗骸过境?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(38) "http://mil.m4.cn/2016-04/1306045.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0401/1459490537953.jpg" ["description"]=> string(312) "单纯从国与国之间的关系来看,韩国的态度和举动显然更加明智和“机智”。不论中国、朝鲜和韩国这三国间曾有过哪些恩怨情仇,花熊依然希望能够有更多的志愿军烈士们得以回到祖国和家乡,今人对逝者的尊重是不应被随意忽视的。" ["time"]=> int(1459490660) } [1]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305934) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(57) "张幂:蔡英文时代会怎样以武力抗拒统一?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305934.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0331/1459405166135.jpg" ["description"]=> string(244) "最牵动国人之心的不是朝鲜问题,而是台湾问题。两岸关系在马英九执政期间保持了稳定,但是具有台独立场民进党赢得2016年的选举,520即将上台给未来的两岸关系带来了不确定因素。" ["time"]=> int(1459405216) } [2]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305844) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(56) "环球:“文革”50周年,反思不应是偏激的" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305844.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0330/1459319464483.jpg" ["description"]=> string(365) "离“文革”错误发动50周年的日子越来越近了,各种相关的讨论逐渐增多,其中一些尖锐的观点相互对立。然而它们的对立并不代表社会对“文革”的主流认识真的撕裂了,必须指出,互联网放大了一些小圈子彼此之间的分歧,造成了中国社会对“文革”认识十分混乱的假象。" ["time"]=> int(1459319658) } [3]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305139) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(60) "廖德凯:警惕“宿命论”正义感背后的负能量" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305139.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0322/1458616483447.jpg" ["description"]=> string(270) "一个人的成长成才,并不完全由其起点决定,而是看在这个过程之中个人所付出的努力。如果极力渲染“出生在农村,注定样样落后”,不仅是对一些客观事实选择性地无视,而且抹杀了个人奋斗的价值。" ["time"]=> int(1458616487) } [4]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305138) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(51) "向肠河:给奥巴马算算“青史留名”账" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305138.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0322/1458616266458.jpg" ["description"]=> string(222) "奥巴马当地时间20日下午抵达哈瓦那对古巴进行访问,成为1928年以来首位访问古巴的美国在任总统。对于华盛顿来说,美古关系重启是打开美国与拉美关系的一把钥匙。" ["time"]=> int(1458616282) } [5]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305065) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(48) "占豪:克里访俄,普京又要放大招了" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305065.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0321/1458548499477.jpg" ["description"]=> string(348) "克里又要访问俄罗斯了!说实话,克里真够忙的,普京这边突然搞个动作,那边克里就得屁颠屁颠地跑去俄罗斯,老克头那两条细细的大长腿,估计又被溜细了一圈。但是,没办法,克里姆林宫的主人就是个让人捉摸不透的人,谁也不知道他突然会搞出什么招数。" ["time"]=> int(1458548501) } [6]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305064) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(60) "于晓华:在秩序下,内外交困的朝鲜何去何从" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305064.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0321/1458548321904.jpg" ["description"]=> string(246) "最近看到北朝鲜大动作频频。在金正恩上台后,各种疯招迭出,发完了导弹,搞核爆,现在又是撕毁停战协定,不断挑战国际秩序。朝鲜在金正恩的带领下,疯了吗?对,是因为穷疯了!" ["time"]=> int(1458548359) } [7]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1305046) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(57) "刘正猛:亲吻城管与暴力抗法性质同样恶劣" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1305046.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0321/1458532022165.jpg" ["description"]=> string(339) "3月18日,柳州警方对涉嫌妨碍城管执法的三人处拘留8日的处罚。17日13时许,城管执法人员依法暂扣静兰路一米粉店违章占道堆放的物品。该店黄某文、韦某迁、黄某琼3人持板凳、勺子等阻碍执法,数名执法人员不同程度受伤,黄某文还“亲吻”执法人员。" ["time"]=> int(1458532055) } [8]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1304653) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(63) "徐立凡:拿下“超级星期二”特朗普还会做什么" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1304653.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0317/1458196178701.jpg" ["description"]=> string(315) "在3月15日顺利拿下第二个“超级星期二”以后,特朗普又少了一个“敌人”。共和党建制派的最后希望、佛罗里达州参议员卢比奥在家乡失手之后,已经被迫出局。由于共和党是“赢者全拿”党代表票数,因此特朗普旋风,现在越刮越烈。" ["time"]=> int(1458196180) } [9]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1304293) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(51) "蔡昉:落入“中等收入陷阱”,有四步" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1304293.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0314/1457945699115.jpg" ["description"]=> string(405) "虽然“不幸的家庭各有各的不幸”,但是,根据现实中的“中等收入陷阱”现象,我们可以从丰富多彩的发展中国家经济史,特别是拉丁美洲和东南亚一些国家长期徘徊于中等收入阶段的经验教训中,归纳出一些具有共性的特征化事实,用以说明一个“不幸”的经济体,是如何经过四个步骤落入该陷阱的。" ["time"]=> int(1457945719) } [10]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303881) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(54) "金灿荣:美国早晚都会对中国说,壕友乎" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(39) "http://news.m4.cn/2016-03/1303881.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0310/1457578401511.jpg" ["description"]=> string(438) "中国在处理国际争端时比以前更有底气,更有信心表达自己的利益诉求,未来无论是朝核问题还是南海局势,都会紧张一段时间,但不存在大规模战争的可能性。至于中美关系,美国人对中国依旧有疑虑,甚至怀有种族主义歧视,但随着中国实力的不断强大,秉承实用主义的美国最终会承认中国的大国地位,给予中国应有的尊重。" ["time"]=> int(1457578320) } [11]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303599) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(52) "梁兴扬:清真食品立法或许是一场阴谋 " ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303599.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0307/1457339404977.jpg" ["description"]=> string(327) "贫道曾经在金仙观与基督徒、穆斯林、佛教徒、无神论者坐一起喝茶,入道前在云南相亲也曾遇到过回族姑娘。清真食品立法或许是一场阴谋,用来隔绝我们与世俗化穆斯林的交流,是用宗教教义干扰法律公正,受到伤害更大的是大部分穆斯林……" ["time"]=> int(1457339605) } [12]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303645) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(60) "人民日报:官员妻子应该常吹勤勉“枕边风”" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(39) "http://news.m4.cn/2016-03/1303645.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0308/1457399937570.jpg" ["description"]=> string(297) "妇女节来临之际,一条名为“当好丈夫廉洁从政的监督员”的微信在朋友圈荡起涟漪。观者纷纷将那些影响家风的“她”上传网络、分享感恩和感动。这背后,有对良好家风的期盼希冀,更有发挥家风建设“她魅力”的呼唤。" ["time"]=> int(1457399954) } [13]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303676) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(45) "东北,为什么让总书记如此牵挂?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(39) "http://news.m4.cn/2016-03/1303676.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0308/1457408794205.jpg" ["description"]=> string(218) "习近平对东北地区发展非常关心。2013年和2015年全国两会期间,他曾分别到辽宁和吉林代表团参加审议。今年,他又来到黑龙江代表团,东北振兴再次成为关注焦点。" ["time"]=> int(1457408760) } [14]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303703) ["icon"]=> string(5) "blank" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(45) "香港没有墙,但香港人有一堵心墙" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(39) "http://news.m4.cn/2016-03/1303703.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(27) "2016/0308/1457419234976.jpg" ["description"]=> string(259) "在香港中环工作了近6年的刘侃昱,把自己孩子重新转回内地读书。孩子代表未来,孩子回去了,他自己未来会不会留在香港,不得而知。但他对香港的分析、阐述,明显更接地气,更理性、客观。" ["time"]=> int(1457419236) } [15]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303303) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(54) "宋鲁郑:中俄之间到底是朋友还是对手?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303303.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457080469359.jpg" ["description"]=> string(245) "北京时间3月2日晚,联合国安理会通过决议,对朝鲜实行史上最严制裁措施。回顾这个决议的出台,不难看出,朝鲜核试验和发射火箭,已经迅速转成大国尤其是中美两大国之间的博弈。" ["time"]=> int(1457080476) } [16]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303308) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(63) "陈冰:美国为什么突然冒出几百万社会主义者?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303308.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457081473210.jpg" ["description"]=> string(174) "如果真像桑巴所争辩的,美国之所以缺乏社会主义者,是因为这里有改变经济状况的现实和期望,而且美国是一个奖励劳动的国家。" ["time"]=> int(1457081474) } [17]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303302) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(66) "占豪:俄罗斯经济困难,普京为何还那么受欢迎?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303302.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457080353944.jpg" ["description"]=> string(342) "俄罗斯的经济现在很糟糕,正在遭受严重的经济危机,经济在倒退。西方媒体一直以来都在讨论普京何时倒台,包括中国的媒体前几天也有关于俄罗斯人民过得多么窘迫、多么贫穷等等。然而,可能让西方很想不通的是,在过去两三年普京的支持率不降反升。" ["time"]=> int(1457080368) } [18]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303300) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(88) "梁鹏飞:国产片票房首超北美市场,华语电影有戏了?好莱坞急了?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303300.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457080243166.jpg" ["description"]=> string(205) "国家电影资金办日前公布,2016年2月全国电影票房为68.7亿元,同比增长67.2%,首次超越北美市场8.1亿美元(约53亿元人民币)。国产电影票房的春天来了吗?" ["time"]=> int(1457080273) } [19]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303295) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(60) "乔新生:如何看待美国总统选举的连台好戏?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303295.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457079228954.jpg" ["description"]=> string(253) "美国总统大选好戏连,超级星期二的选举结果,让不少政治观察家跌破眼镜。无论是美国共和党的候选人异军突起,还是美国民主党候选人拔得头筹,都让人们看到美国民主政治的不确定性。 " ["time"]=> int(1457079233) } [20]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303272) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(81) "子政:犯罪嫌疑人能上电视吗?盘点上电视的知名犯罪嫌疑人" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303272.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457077075426.jpg" ["description"]=> string(219) "因为“从法律上来说,如果没有证据佐证的话,在电视上认罪是不应该采信的”;“在法院判决之前,要避免整个社会把他们当做罪犯来对待,否则对他们不公平”。" ["time"]=> int(1457077085) } [21]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303264) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(51) "王冠:美国总统候选人的四个对华之最" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303264.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457076539499.jpg" ["description"]=> string(129) "总的来看,从现在到11月8日大选前,中国的经济、内政和外交政策将继续为各路竞选人提供话题。" ["time"]=> int(1457076546) } [22]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303240) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(45) "日本女性为何反感混浴的中国游客" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303240.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(48) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457063921764.jpeg" ["description"]=> string(292) "混浴,是日本的文化,古来日本就有混浴的风俗。江户时代是日本男女混浴的大发展时期,混浴风俗从农村进入了城市,在城市中兴起了混浴的潮流。日本有记录的最早的公共浴室是在1591年左右,相当于中国的明朝时期。" ["time"]=> int(1457063970) } [23]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303231) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(54) "共和党已阻止不了特朗普,希拉里能吗?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303231.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457061889289.png" ["description"]=> string(190) "3月1日,美国总统选举打响“超级星期二”争夺战,民主党人希拉里·克林顿、共和党人唐纳德·特朗普各自拿下至少7个州,成为当天最大赢家。" ["time"]=> int(1457061921) } [24]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303230) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(40) "CBBC总裁:英国要搭中国顺风车" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303230.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0304/1457061598480.jpg" ["description"]=> string(405) "并不隶属于“一带一路”沿线国家,为何英国会如此积极地支持和参与中国主导的对外投资战略中来?未来英国将在“一带一路”和亚投行中扮演怎样的角色?中国和英国企业联手开发全球市场究竟是雄心还是妄想?带着这些问题,凤凰评论《高见》专访英中贸易协会(CBBC)总裁傅仲森(Stephen Phillips)。 " ["time"]=> int(1457061604) } [25]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303153) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(60) "于大勇:从德国地方选举谈华人的“脸面观”" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303153.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0303/1456993948435.jpg" ["description"]=> string(219) "越来越多的华人与德国人一起站队,表达对政府难民政策的不满,而这些不满如果没有理性的依据,只是感性的宣泄,很容易成为右翼党派信手拈来借题发挥的口实。" ["time"]=> int(1456993954) } [26]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303149) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(63) "毛时安:我不赞成对民国文化的简单肯定和赞美" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303149.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0303/1456992606854.jpg" ["description"]=> string(324) "我不赞成对民国文化和上海三十年代文化的简单肯定和赞美,特别是虚构出来的关于民国文化和上海三十年代文化的美丽“神话”。我并无意于简单地彻底否定什么,只是想提醒,我们应该用一种更全面的眼光和胸襟,去对待文化,去看取历史。" ["time"]=> int(1456992608) } [27]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303178) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(66) "真相令人震惊:中国突然停止亚丁湾护航另有隐情" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303178.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0303/1457008342848.jpg" ["description"]=> string(341) " 也门的局势牵动着世界各国的心,人们对中东地区再次爆发一处战火惴惴不安。据新加坡《联合早报》网站3月27日报道称,濒临内战边缘的也门局势急速升温,沙特阿拉伯率领十多个阿盟成员国向也门境内的胡塞武装目标展开空袭,以保护也门的合法政府。" ["time"]=> int(1457008378) } [28]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303181) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(66) "中国在东欧最紧密伙伴突然曝光:没想到竟是他们" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303181.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(48) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0303/1457008878449.jpeg" ["description"]=> string(205) "近日,中国驻塞尔维亚大使宣布了在塞尔维亚投资建设工业园的计划,中国近来的外交姿态确认了塞尔维亚作为中国在东欧最紧密和始终如一的盟友地位。 " ["time"]=> int(1457008901) } [29]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303146) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(57) "郑伟彬:激进本土派崛起,香港未来难预料" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303146.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0303/1456992002188.jpg" ["description"]=> string(406) "无论是传统泛民主派力量的瓦解、激进本土派的崛起,或是暴力行为的出现、香港政治议题的变换,对于北京而言都不是好事。或许有人会认为,香港反对力量的瓦解,不是有利于建制派政党吗?但要看到的是,新出现的政治力量,却是个并不在乎行为是否激进或暴力的组织,其主张更是非克制、低调的。 " ["time"]=> int(1456992008) } [30]=> array(11) { ["contentid"]=> int(1303113) ["icon"]=> string(0) "" ["iconsrc"]=> string(0) "" ["title"]=> string(45) "这次联合国制裁是否治得住朝鲜?" ["color"]=> string(0) "" ["url"]=> string(46) "http://www.m4.cn/opinion/2016-03/1303113.shtml" ["subtitle"]=> string(0) "" ["suburl"]=> string(0) "" ["thumb"]=> string(47) "http://upload.m4.cn/2016/0303/1456977284191.jpg" ["description"]=> string(415) "当然,通过严厉的制裁,朝鲜知道痛了,也可能幡然悔悟。但朝鲜以宇宙第一强国的思维逻辑,这种可能性很低。对一个根本不在乎民众生死的国家来说,国家再苦也有办法硬撑。只要其统治集团仍然能够牢牢控制这个国家,人家是完全可以满不在乎的。他们会继续使用精神胜利法,强化宇宙第一强国的白日梦。 " ["time"]=> int(1456977304) } }

花熊:朝鲜为何拒绝志愿军遗骸过境?